Punjab Exit Polls: AAP Leads in All Predictions, Channi Says 'Wait for 10 March'

Catch all the live updates on the the exit poll results for Punjab Assembly Elections here.

The Quint
Punjab Election
Updated:
<div class="paragraphs"><p>Punjab Opinion Poll Results:&nbsp;The AAP has led most exit polls by a wide margin, and is likely to make a sweeping victory in the state, which has 117 seats.</p></div>
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Punjab Opinion Poll Results: The AAP has led most exit polls by a wide margin, and is likely to make a sweeping victory in the state, which has 117 seats.

(Photo: Deeksha Malhotra/The Quint)

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With the results of the exit polls conducted by various agencies pouring in on Monday, 7 March, the Aam Aadmi Party is projected to win 76-90 seats in the Punjab, while the Congress is forecasted to win 19-31, as per the India Today-India My Axis poll results.

The AAP has led most exit polls by a wide margin, and is likely to land a sweeping victory in the state, which has 117 seats.

The Punjab, which went to polls on 20 February, saw six parties and a number of independent candidates in the fray with the Congress, AAP, Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD), Punjab Lok Congress, and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) emerging as the key players.

  • The results of the Punjab Assembly elections 2022 will be released after the counting of votes on 10 March

  • Punjab voted in a single phase election on 20 February in which 68 percent voter turnout was recorded

  • Incumbent Chief Minister Charanjit Singh Channi contested from two constituencies – Bhadaur in Malwa region and his traditional seat of Chamkaur Sahib.

  • AAP's chief ministerial candidate and sitting Lok Sabha MP Bhagwant Mann, fought from the Dhuri Assembly constituency

'Wait for 10 March': Channi on AAP's Projected Win 

"The boxes (sealed EVMs) will say what is going to happen. Wait for the 10th of March," Punjab CM Charanjit Singh Channi was quoted as saying by ANI, when asked about AAP's projected win in exit polls.

'We Are Getting More Than 80 Seats, Oppn Can Calculate': Bhagwant Mann

"What calculation? We are getting more than 80 seats. They (the rest of the parties that contested Punjab elections) can sit down and calculate among themselves," Bhagwant Mann, AAP's CM candidate for Punjab, was quoted as saying by news agency ANI.

Exit Polls: AAP Leads All in Predictions, Set To Sweep Punjab

AAP May Win Overwhelming Mandate of 100 Seats: News24-Today's Chanakya

The AAP is expected to win Punjab with a landslide majority of 100 seats, as per the News24-Today's Chanakya exit polls.

AAP May Win Punjab With a Mandate of 70 Seats: Times Now-VETO

AAP is projected to win by a large mandate of 70 seats in the Punjab, as per Times Now-VETO. The Congress is expected to win 22 seats, while SAD may win 19 seats, as per the survey.

AAP Near Forming Majority With 52-61 Seats: Zee News-DesignBoxed

AAP may form a majority with 52-61 seats in the Punjab, as per the Zee News-Design Boxed exit polls. The Congress is projected to get 26-33 seats, while SAD is forecasted to win 24-32 seats.

39% Projected Vote Share for AAP, 25% for Cong: Zee News-DesignBoxed

The AAP garnered a projected vote share of 39 percent, while the Congress has a projected vote share of 25 percent, as per Zee News-DesignBoxed exit polls.

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39% Voted for AAP in Punjab, 27% for Congress: ABP-CVoter

As per the the ABP-CVoter exit poll results, 39 percent of the voters in the Punjab are expected to have exercised their franchise in the favour of AAP, while 27 percent voters are projected to have favoured the Congress.

AAP To Win 51-61 Seats in Punjab: ABP-CVoter

The AAP is expected to win 51-61 seats in Punjab, predicts the ABP-CVoter exit poll survey, while its contender, the Congress is forecasted to get 22-28 seats.

The Punjab has a total of 117 Assembly seats, of which 59 need to be won by a party to form majority.

AAP Projected To Win 63 Seats in Malwa Alone: India Today-Axis My India

According to India Today-Axis My India exit polls, out of the 69 seats in the Malwa region of the Punjab, which is the stronghold of the party's CM candidate Bhagwant Mann, AAP will win 63 seats. In Maja, where AAP is traditionally considered weak, it has still managed to stay ahead of the Congress. In the Doaba region, the Congress is ahead of AAP by 12 to 5, as per the survey.

AAP Projected to Make Sweeping Victory With 76-90 Seats: India Today-Axis My India

The AAP is projected to make a sweeping victory by getting 76-90 seats in Punjab, while the Congress is forecasted to win 19-31, as per the India Today-India My Axis poll results.

The Shiromani Akali Dal is expected to win 7-11 seats, while the BJP and its allies may get 1-4 seats, as per the survey.

Punjab has a total of 117 Assembly seats, of which 59 need to be won by a party to form majority.

Projected Vote Share of 41% for Punjab, 28% for Cong: India Today-Axis My India

As per the India Today-Axis My India exit poll results, 41 percent voters are forecasted to have voted for AAP in Punjab, and 28 percent for the Congress.

Will the Bhagwant Mann Factor in Malwa Work for the AAP?

There is a Bhagwant Mann surge in many of the districts in Punjab's Malwa region, that accounts for 69 of the state's 117 seats. It is greatly banking on the 'Bhagwant Mann factor' in Malwa, while in Majha, we found that Kejriwal's appeal is playing a more important role.

According to some estimates, given AAP's structural weaknesses in Majha and Doaba, it would need to win about two-thirds of Malwa's 69 seats to have a clear majority in Punjab.

Read more here.

The Communal Card in Punjab: Who Started It?

The communal card in Punjab is older than the Indian republic. Even the colonial regime and its cronies actively used it to pit one community against the other, which eventually led to the brutal partition of Punjab.

Even after 1947, fears of Sikh domination were used to push a pro-Hindi movement among a section of Hindus in Punjab in order to counter the Punjabi Suba movement.

"Punjab problem," "Punjab crisis" – through such terms used by the Centre and the media, even secular demands in the Punjab were seen from a national security framework. Why? Just because this is a state where a non-Hindu community is in a majority.

Read more here.

Exit Poll Results for Punjab Assembly Elections To Come in Shortly

The exit poll results for the Punjab Assembly elections, conducted by various polling research agencies, are scheduled to be released after 6 pm on Monday, as the Model Code of Conduct (MCC) will be lifted after the completion of the seventh and the final phase of the Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections.

India Today-Axis My India, ABP News-CVoter, ZeeNews-DesignBoxed, and News24-Today's Chanakya are among those expected to publish their exit poll predictions shortly.

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Published: 07 Mar 2022,05:00 PM IST

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