Gujarat Exit Poll Results: BJP Predicted to Get Over 120 Seats, AAP Below 20

With 30-50 seats, the Congress is still predicted to be the main Opposition party in the state.

Gujarat Exit Polls: Over 120 for BJP, Congress Main Opposition, AAP in Single Digits

(Photo: PTI/Altered by The Quint)

As the voting for the second phase of Gujarat elections concluded on Monday, 5 December, most exit polls predicted a landslide victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) with over 120 seats, a massive gain from the 99 seats it won in 2017.

The predictions not only seal the BJP's return for the seventh consecutive term in the state, but also signify a massive boost for Chief Minister Bhupendra Patel, who replaced Vijay Rupani for the top job just last year.

The AAP, meanwhile, is expected to make inroads in the state, but is unlikely to be the principal Opposition in the state like it had hoped.

Here's what the results of several exit polls show:

Here are the seat share and vote share projections for each of the polls:

India Today-Axis My India

As per India Today-Axis My India, the number of seats are predicted to be as follows:

• BJP: 129-151

• Congress: 16-30

• AAP: 9-21

• OTH: 2-6

The vote share according to the poll is expected to be as follows:

• BJP - 46%

• Congress - 26%

• AAP - 20%

• OTH - 8%

ABP-CVoter

As per ABP-CVoter survey, the number of seats are predicted to be as follows:

• BJP: 128-140

• Congress: 31-43

• AAP: 3-11

• OTH: 2-6

The vote share is expected to be as follows:

• BJP - 49.4%

• Congress -33%

• AAP - 15%

• Others - 3%

Times Now-ETG

According to ABP-CVoter survey, the number of seats predicted are as follows:

• BJP: 139

• Congress: 30

• AAP: 11

• Others: 2

The vote share is expected to be as follows:

• BJP: 46.7%

• Congress: 23.4%

• AAP: 24.2%

• Others: 5.7%

Republic-PMARQ

As per Republic-PMARQ exit polls, BJP will garner an overwhelming majority of 128-148 seats, while Congress will be a distant second with 30-42 seats.

The vote share according to the poll is expected to be as follows:

• BJP: 44.8%

• Congress: 42.9%

• AAP: 2.8%

• Others: 9.5%

TV9

As per TV9 exit polls, the numbers are predicted as follows:

• BJP: 125-130

• Congress: 40-50

• AAP: 03-05

• OTH: 03-07

Click here to catch all live updates of Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh exit polls here.

NewsX-Jan Ki Baat

The BJP is projected to win Gujarat by an overwhelming margin, with the Congress getting 34-51 seats, according to the NewsX- Jan Ki Baat poll.

• BJP: 117-140

• Congress: 34-51

• AAP: 6-13

The seat share in the state is predicted to be as follows:

• BJP: 44-49%

• Congress: 28-32%

• AAP: 12-19%

• Others: 07-09%

Key Observations from the Gujarat Exit Polls

Here are some key observations from the exit polls:

• The BJP is going up from 99 to over 120 seats, a big gain for the pasrty compared to the 2017 Assembly polls.

• The AAP, which had been projecting itself as the principal opposition, is not expected to get seats in double digits according to most polls.

• The Congress, which gained massively due to the Patidar and the OBC movements ahead of the 2017 polls, still remains the main Opposition but with massive loss of seats.

How Correct Were The Exit Polls in 2017?

Exit polls are usually seen as an indicator of polling trends. Sometimes, they are proven to be in sync with the final results, but on other occasions, they have ended up being inaccurate. So how accurate have the exit polls been in the last couple of Gujarat Assembly elections?

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